Matthias Troffaes, Michael Goldstein

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A Note on the Temporal Sure Preference Principle and the Updating of Lower Previsions

Abstract

This paper reviews the temporal sure preference principle as a basis for inference over time. We reformulate the principle in terms of desirability, and explore its implications for lower previsions. We report some initial results. We also discuss some of the technical difficulties encountered.

Keywords

updating, inference, temporal coherence, desirability, lower prevision

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E-mail addresses

Matthias Troffaes		matthias.troffaes@gmail.com
Michael Goldstein		Michael.Goldstein@durham.ac.uk